Market Carve
Summary

2026-02-05

๐Ÿšจ Market Status: IBIT in severe oversold territory โ€“ collapsing -8.16% on Feb 5 to $36.46. Trading well below all EMAs (9/50/200), signaling intense bearish pressure.


๐Ÿ“Š Technical Indicators: RSI plummeted to 7.47 (extremely oversold!), MACD histogram deepening to -1.40, and price action showing capitulation selling. This is panic-level selling.


๐Ÿ”ฎ Prediction: Oversold bounce likely tomorrow (green candle probable). However, week may still close lower given the damage. This looks like a "falling knife" โ€“ catching it is risky but could reward the brave!


๐Ÿ’ก Strategy: Mean reversion play with 2-week calls targeting bounce to $40-42 range as RSI normalizes above 30.

Insights

Trend: ๐Ÿป BEARISH

Candlestick Pattern: Three Black Crows / Capitulation Pattern (Feb 3: -2.53%, Feb 4: -2.34%, Feb 5: -8.16%) - consecutive strong bearish candles with accelerating downside momentum and final panic selling

Support: ๐ŸŸข $35.30 (Feb 5 intraday low - recent panic bottom)

Resistance: ๐Ÿ”ด $42.89 (Feb 4 high - near-term overhead resistance)

CALLBUY IBIT @ 40

Expiration: Feb 19, 2026 ยท 14 days out

IBIT