OpenAI Weighs $1.2T Funding Round; BofA Defends Chips After AI Sell-Off
Analysis
The AI funding cycle owned today's news flow. The Wall Street Journal reported that OpenAI is considering a pre-IPO funding round at a valuation of more than $1.2 trillion, capping a week of mega-AI capital-raising speculation that also ran through Motley Fool's guide to getting exposure to Anthropic before its own IPO. The physical build-out kept advancing: Google (GOOG) landed a nuclear deal with Finland's Fortum, Euronews examined why European money is financing the American AI boom, and Blackstone (BX) expects an earnings boom in AI, infrastructure, and fundraising to keep growing. Meta (META) framed the debate from the inside, with Zuckerberg and Wang pushing back on calls to slow AI progress and Zuckerberg saying Meta delayed its Muse model for months to focus on AI safety, while a new Meta AI acquisition drew fresh reads on the company's priorities. Semis got a firm Wall Street endorsement. Bank of America made a bold chip call after the recent AI sell-off, with names across NVDA, AMD, Applied Materials (AMAT), Lam Research (LRCX), and Marvell (MRVL) in play alongside the SOX index, and Qualcomm (QCOM) climbed to a 2-month high on its AI data center push. SolarEdge (SEDG) got real with its 800-volt data center push, and SK Hynix (SKHY) eased labor strain by striking a deal to pay half of bonuses in cash. The bear counterpoint stayed visible: Michael Burry's seven-word dismissal of the slowdown chatter, 'There Is Nothing AI to Slow Down,' is being weighed against his open shorts in NVDA and Palantir (PLTR). Outside the AI complex, the consumer tape looks rougher. Open (OPEN), Nike (NKE), and Carnival (CCL) all crashed to 52-week lows, and Seaport flagged broad restaurant traffic weakness and valuation risk across WEN, CMG, SBUX, MCD, and CAVA, with only one name in the group standing out. Oracle (ORCL) fell for a fifth straight session as traders eye OpenAI funding news and a potential Japan cloud deal as catalysts, with new scrutiny on how much ORCL stock Larry Ellison is holding as loan collateral. IBD noted Dow Jones futures rising as ServiceNow (NOW) and Twilio (TWLO) led 8 new buys, even with the open question of how bonds will react to a Fed hike. Undervaluation hunting persisted, with Simply Wall St. seeing Home Depot (HD) as 21% undervalued on its pro-supply push and Netflix (NFLX) as 5% undervalued on live events and ads, while Abbott (ABT) agreed to a $385 million infant formula recall settlement and Accenture (ACN) to a $25 million DOJ discrimination settlement.
Highlights
- OpenAI is weighing a pre-IPO funding round at a valuation of more than $1.2 trillion (WSJ), keeping mega-AI capital formation front of mind
- Bank of America made a bold chip call after the AI sell-off with NVDA, AMD, AMAT, LRCX, MRVL in play, while QCOM climbed to a 2-month high on its AI data center push
- Dow futures ticked up as IBD's 8 new buys were led by NOW and TWLO, even with the Fed-hike bond question unresolved
Lowlights
- ORCL fell for a fifth straight session, with traders waiting on OpenAI funding news and a potential Japan cloud deal as catalysts
- OPEN, NKE, and CCL all crashed to 52-week lows, a broad consumer-discretionary warning sign
- Seaport flagged restaurant traffic weakness and valuation risk across WEN, CMG, SBUX, MCD, and CAVA, with one stock standing out
Bull News
- OpenAI is considering a pre-IPO funding round at more than a $1.2 trillion valuation (The Wall Street Journal)
- Bank of America's bold chip call after the AI sell-off, pointing to NVDA, AMD, AMAT, LRCX, and MRVL (TheStreet)
- Google landed a nuclear deal with Fortum, and European money is financing the American AI boom according to Euronews; Blackstone sees an AI and infrastructure earnings boom (Simply Wall St., Euronews, MarketBeat)
Bear News
- ORCL fell for a fifth straight session, with fresh scrutiny on how much ORCL stock Larry Ellison is using as loan collateral (Stocktwits, TheStreet)
- OPEN, NKE, and CCL crashed to 52-week lows, extending the consumer-discretionary slump (Stocktwits)
- Michael Burry's 'There Is Nothing AI to Slow Down' is being weighed against his NVDA and Palantir shorts, keeping the AI-slowdown debate alive (Motley Fool)
Today's tape is a study in AI contradiction: capital is still chasing the build-out, with OpenAI's $1.2T pre-IPO, the Google-Fortum nuclear deal, BofA's chip call, and QCOM at a 2-month high all pointing up, while the same complex draws skeptical positioning (Burry's NVDA/PLTR shorts) and an unresolved Fed-hike question that keeps rate-sensitive names cautious. Breadth outside the AI trade is soft, with consumer-discretionary names at 52-week lows, restaurant traffic flagged as weak, and ORCL slipping for a fifth straight session. Stay constructive on AI-infrastructure beneficiaries (NVDA, QCOM, SEDG, AVGO) and the cheap value corners flagged as undervalued (HD at 21%, NFLX at 5%), while keeping a lid on consumer and restaurant exposure until traffic and consumer data improve.